Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 1 draw and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Goiás beat Fluminense with a 22.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 18 (before the first match) against those on September 23 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goiás | Sudamericana | 25.9% | 54.4% | +28.5 |
| Goiás | Relegation | 38.7% | 13.8% | −24.9 |
| Santos | Libertadores | 58.4% | 33.6% | −24.8 |
| CSA | Relegation | 56.7% | 34.0% | −22.7 |
| Bahia | Sudamericana | 40.0% | 59.5% | +19.5 |
| Bahia | Libertadores | 30.7% | 12.7% | −18.0 |
| Avaí | Relegation | 70.8% | 52.9% | −18.0 |
| São Paulo | Sudamericana | 49.6% | 32.5% | −17.1 |
| Fluminense | Relegation | 31.9% | 48.9% | +17.0 |
| CSA | Sudamericana | 14.6% | 30.8% | +16.1 |
