Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 2 (before the first match) against those on October 16 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sport | Relegation | 51.9% | 18.4% | −33.5 |
| Fluminense | Relegation | 42.7% | 13.0% | −29.7 |
| Avaí | Relegation | 38.5% | 65.8% | +27.4 |
| Sport | Sudamericana | 21.5% | 47.8% | +26.4 |
| Fluminense | Sudamericana | 29.1% | 54.9% | +25.8 |
| Chapecoense | Sudamericana | 52.2% | 30.7% | −21.5 |
| Avaí | Sudamericana | 31.7% | 10.2% | −21.5 |
| Coritiba | Relegation | 63.1% | 83.1% | +20.0 |
| Chapecoense | Relegation | 15.1% | 34.9% | +19.8 |
| Bahia | Sudamericana | 43.3% | 62.4% | +19.1 |
