Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 4 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Sport beat Vitória with a 13.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 7 (before the first match) against those on October 13 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sport | Relegation | 51.5% | 18.2% | −33.3 |
| Sport | Sudamericana | 21.5% | 50.2% | +28.6 |
| Botafogo | Libertadores | 34.9% | 53.9% | +19.0 |
| Avaí | Relegation | 37.2% | 52.4% | +15.2 |
| Corinthians | Champion | 79.1% | 91.5% | +12.4 |
| Vasco | Relegation | 16.3% | 4.0% | −12.3 |
| Avaí | Sudamericana | 32.4% | 20.6% | −11.8 |
| Vasco | Sudamericana | 50.1% | 61.6% | +11.5 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 80.6% | 69.4% | −11.2 |
| São Paulo | Relegation | 17.7% | 28.8% | +11.1 |
