Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Coritiba beat Cruzeiro with a 16.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 16 (before the first match) against those on October 19 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chapecoense | Sudamericana | 30.7% | 56.8% | +26.1 |
| Coritiba | Relegation | 83.1% | 59.3% | −23.8 |
| Athletico-PR | Sudamericana | 48.9% | 71.3% | +22.4 |
| Chapecoense | Relegation | 34.9% | 13.2% | −21.7 |
| Ponte Preta | Relegation | 37.9% | 56.3% | +18.4 |
| Fluminense | Sudamericana | 54.9% | 72.9% | +18.0 |
| Vitória | Sudamericana | 43.7% | 25.9% | −17.8 |
| São Paulo | Sudamericana | 57.1% | 39.9% | −17.1 |
| Vitória | Relegation | 21.8% | 38.1% | +16.3 |
| Flamengo | Sudamericana | 38.0% | 22.6% | −15.4 |
