Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Vitória beat Corinthians with a 23.5% chance and Chapecoense beat Palmeiras with a 23.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 14 (before the first match) against those on August 21 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chapecoense | Relegation | 38.7% | 18.5% | −20.1 |
| Vitória | Relegation | 55.9% | 37.4% | −18.6 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 47.0% | 29.3% | −17.7 |
| Vasco | Relegation | 24.5% | 41.6% | +17.1 |
| Flamengo | Libertadores | 7.1% | 21.5% | +14.4 |
| Vasco | Sudamericana | 36.5% | 23.1% | −13.4 |
| Atletico-MG | Relegation | 12.9% | 26.2% | +13.3 |
| Bahia | Relegation | 28.6% | 15.4% | −13.2 |
| Palmeiras | Sudamericana | 25.3% | 38.5% | +13.1 |
| Ponte Preta | Relegation | 26.9% | 13.7% | −13.1 |
