Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 1 draw and 5 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Vasco beat Fluminense with a 20.6% chance and Atlético-GO beat Corinthians with a 23.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 23 (before the first match) against those on September 2 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vasco | Relegation | 41.0% | 16.8% | −24.1 |
| Vasco | Sudamericana | 23.2% | 41.9% | +18.7 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 28.6% | 47.2% | +18.6 |
| Corinthians | Champion | 87.7% | 69.9% | −17.7 |
| Flamengo | Libertadores | 21.3% | 38.9% | +17.6 |
| São Paulo | Relegation | 36.7% | 53.4% | +16.7 |
| Avaí | Relegation | 46.7% | 30.0% | −16.7 |
| Chapecoense | Relegation | 27.7% | 44.0% | +16.3 |
| Atletico-MG | Relegation | 25.4% | 9.6% | −15.7 |
| Grêmio | Champion | 8.4% | 23.7% | +15.3 |
