Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Botafogo beat Grêmio with a 24.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 9 (before the first match) against those on August 23 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 50.7% | 28.6% | −22.0 |
| Vasco | Relegation | 19.6% | 41.0% | +21.4 |
| Coritiba | Relegation | 7.7% | 23.8% | +16.1 |
| Palmeiras | Sudamericana | 23.0% | 38.8% | +15.8 |
| Vasco | Sudamericana | 38.4% | 23.2% | −15.2 |
| São Paulo | Relegation | 50.8% | 36.7% | −14.1 |
| Coritiba | Sudamericana | 48.2% | 34.8% | −13.4 |
| Avaí | Relegation | 57.8% | 46.7% | −11.1 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 9.2% | 19.1% | +10.0 |
| São Paulo | Sudamericana | 16.9% | 26.7% | +9.8 |
