Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Vitória beat Internacional with a 22.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on June 3 (before the first match) against those on June 5 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| América-MG | Relegation | 82.6% | 32.8% | −49.9 |
| Vitória | Relegation | 44.2% | 9.6% | −34.7 |
| Internacional | Champion | 50.7% | 21.7% | −28.9 |
| Vitória | Sudamericana | 19.1% | 46.2% | +27.1 |
| América-MG | Sudamericana | 3.3% | 27.6% | +24.3 |
| Flamengo | Libertadores | 36.2% | 13.2% | −23.0 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 38.5% | 59.7% | +21.2 |
| Santa Cruz | Relegation | 14.4% | 35.6% | +21.2 |
| Figueirense | Relegation | 16.5% | 37.3% | +20.9 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 89.3% | 68.7% | −20.6 |
