Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 1 draw and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Figueirense beat São Paulo with a 24.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 29 (before the first match) against those on June 3 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sport | Relegation | 64.8% | 19.9% | −44.9 |
| Figueirense | Relegation | 58.2% | 16.5% | −41.7 |
| Ponte Preta | Relegation | 44.1% | 11.1% | −33.0 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 73.5% | 45.0% | −28.5 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 51.4% | 23.7% | −27.7 |
| Figueirense | Sudamericana | 13.2% | 40.5% | +27.3 |
| Botafogo | Relegation | 32.3% | 59.0% | +26.8 |
| Sport | Sudamericana | 10.0% | 36.3% | +26.3 |
| Coritiba | Relegation | 43.2% | 69.1% | +25.9 |
| Vitória | Relegation | 20.6% | 44.2% | +23.7 |
