Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Sport beat Grêmio with a 23.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 12 (before the first match) against those on July 18 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sport | Relegation | 56.7% | 30.5% | −26.1 |
| Santos | Libertadores | 30.2% | 53.3% | +23.1 |
| Santa Cruz | Relegation | 39.1% | 18.6% | −20.5 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 65.6% | 45.7% | −19.9 |
| Palmeiras | Champion | 25.5% | 43.1% | +17.6 |
| Cruzeiro | Relegation | 33.4% | 50.9% | +17.5 |
| Ponte Preta | Libertadores | 38.5% | 22.8% | −15.8 |
| Santos | Sudamericana | 39.6% | 24.2% | −15.4 |
| Sport | Sudamericana | 13.9% | 29.2% | +15.3 |
| Coritiba | Relegation | 29.9% | 44.8% | +14.8 |
