Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Santa Cruz beat Internacional with a 23.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 4 (before the first match) against those on July 12 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Cruz | Relegation | 75.6% | 39.1% | −36.5 |
| Santa Cruz | Sudamericana | 6.4% | 23.7% | +17.2 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 27.4% | 11.7% | −15.8 |
| Palmeiras | Champion | 37.9% | 25.5% | −12.4 |
| Santos | Libertadores | 42.4% | 30.2% | −12.2 |
| Flamengo | Libertadores | 15.8% | 28.0% | +12.2 |
| Athletico-PR | Libertadores | 27.4% | 38.7% | +11.3 |
| Cruzeiro | Relegation | 22.5% | 33.4% | +10.9 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 55.1% | 65.6% | +10.5 |
| Figueirense | Relegation | 31.8% | 41.5% | +9.7 |
