Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Fluminense beat Flamengo with a 24.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on June 24 (before the first match) against those on June 26 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo | Relegation | 47.1% | 23.4% | −23.7 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 79.2% | 58.5% | −20.7 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 50.6% | 30.9% | −19.6 |
| Sport | Relegation | 39.7% | 20.2% | −19.4 |
| Flamengo | Libertadores | 39.5% | 20.5% | −19.0 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 23.3% | 42.2% | +18.9 |
| Palmeiras | Champion | 40.8% | 22.0% | −18.9 |
| Santos | Libertadores | 37.4% | 55.9% | +18.5 |
| Santa Cruz | Relegation | 41.6% | 57.6% | +16.0 |
| Athletico-PR | Libertadores | 20.8% | 36.4% | +15.6 |
