Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 4 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Vitória beat Grêmio with a 20.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on June 19 (before the first match) against those on June 24 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cruzeiro | Relegation | 48.9% | 23.2% | −25.7 |
| Vitória | Relegation | 47.2% | 21.5% | −25.7 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 53.8% | 34.5% | −19.2 |
| Flamengo | Libertadores | 20.8% | 39.5% | +18.7 |
| Santos | Libertadores | 19.1% | 37.4% | +18.3 |
| América-MG | Relegation | 37.4% | 53.8% | +16.4 |
| Atletico-MG | Relegation | 27.8% | 12.1% | −15.7 |
| Vitória | Sudamericana | 19.9% | 34.9% | +15.0 |
| Cruzeiro | Sudamericana | 18.9% | 33.4% | +14.6 |
| Santa Cruz | Relegation | 27.5% | 41.6% | +14.1 |
