Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 4 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Santos beat Goiás with a 24.1% chance and Coritiba beat São Paulo with a 21.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 1 (before the first match) against those on December 8 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo | Libertadores Second Round | 37.3% | 100% | +62.7 |
| Goiás | Libertadores Second Round | 58.5% | 0% | −58.5 |
| Coritiba | Relegation | 32.7% | 0% | −32.7 |
| Athletico-PR | Libertadores Second Round | 68.2% | 100% | +31.8 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 74.9% | 100% | +25.2 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores Second Round | 25.2% | 0% | −25.1 |
| Athletico-PR | Libertadores | 25.2% | 0% | −25.1 |
| Vasco | Relegation | 79.2% | 100% | +20.8 |
| Fluminense | Relegation | 84.8% | 100% | +15.2 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores Second Round | 5.6% | 0% | −5.6 |
