Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Bahia beat Cruzeiro with a 17.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 24 (before the first match) against those on December 1 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fluminense | Relegation | 38.0% | 84.8% | +46.8 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 37.5% | 74.9% | +37.3 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores Second Round | 50.5% | 25.2% | −25.3 |
| Criciúma | Relegation | 24.0% | 3.0% | −21.0 |
| Athletico-PR | Libertadores | 45.1% | 25.2% | −19.9 |
| Coritiba | Relegation | 52.5% | 32.7% | −19.8 |
| Athletico-PR | Libertadores Second Round | 49.3% | 68.2% | +18.8 |
| Goiás | Libertadores Second Round | 45.5% | 58.5% | +13.1 |
| Vasco | Relegation | 68.2% | 79.2% | +11.0 |
| Goiás | Libertadores | 10.8% | 0% | −10.7 |
