Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Criciúma beat São Paulo with a 18.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 1 (before the first match) against those on September 6 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Criciúma | Relegation | 36.2% | 22.7% | −13.4 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 38.8% | 25.6% | −13.2 |
| Cruzeiro | Champion | 39.3% | 51.9% | +12.6 |
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores | 61.4% | 72.9% | +11.5 |
| Ponte Preta | Relegation | 58.0% | 67.5% | +9.5 |
| Grêmio | Champion | 19.1% | 9.8% | −9.4 |
| Bahia | Relegation | 12.7% | 20.9% | +8.2 |
| Portuguesa | Relegation | 54.1% | 46.3% | −7.8 |
| Vasco | Relegation | 16.8% | 9.1% | −7.7 |
| Vitória | Relegation | 23.2% | 30.9% | +7.7 |
