Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Santos beat Fluminense with a 23.3% chance and Criciúma beat Vitória with a 22.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 25 (before the first match) against those on September 1 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Criciúma | Relegation | 53.3% | 36.2% | −17.1 |
| Portuguesa | Relegation | 67.3% | 54.1% | −13.2 |
| Botafogo | Libertadores | 42.4% | 30.6% | −11.8 |
| Botafogo | Champion | 22.6% | 14.6% | −8.0 |
| Athletico-PR | Libertadores | 11.7% | 19.0% | +7.4 |
| Fluminense | Relegation | 14.6% | 21.5% | +6.9 |
| Náutico | Relegation | 83.1% | 89.9% | +6.8 |
| Athletico-PR | Libertadores Second Round | 18.3% | 24.6% | +6.3 |
| Vitória | Relegation | 17.1% | 23.2% | +6.1 |
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores | 55.6% | 61.4% | +5.8 |
