Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Sport beat Atlético-GO with a 23.2% chance and Internacional beat Vasco with a 23.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 18 (before the first match) against those on October 24 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 58.2% | 79.6% | +21.4 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores Second Round | 40.9% | 20.3% | −20.6 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores Second Round | 64.3% | 80.6% | +16.3 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 33.2% | 17.6% | −15.6 |
| Figueirense | Relegation | 88.3% | 97.5% | +9.3 |
| Sport | Relegation | 88.5% | 80.8% | −7.7 |
| Vasco | Libertadores Second Round | 15.1% | 8.9% | −6.1 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores Second Round | 77.5% | 83.5% | +6.0 |
| Bahia | Relegation | 19.9% | 25.3% | +5.4 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 8.6% | 3.2% | −5.4 |
