Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Palmeiras beat Bahia with a 22.1% chance and Figueirense beat Internacional with a 17.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 14 (before the first match) against those on October 18 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bahia | Relegation | 6.6% | 19.9% | +13.3 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores Second Round | 64.9% | 77.5% | +12.7 |
| Vasco | Libertadores Second Round | 26.7% | 15.1% | −11.6 |
| Palmeiras | Relegation | 93.0% | 82.8% | −10.2 |
| Figueirense | Relegation | 96.1% | 88.3% | −7.9 |
| Sport | Relegation | 94.4% | 88.5% | −5.9 |
| Ponte Preta | Relegation | 3.2% | 8.5% | +5.2 |
| Internacional | Libertadores Second Round | 4.1% | 0.7% | −3.3 |
