Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Bahia beat Vasco with a 17.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 6 (before the first match) against those on September 9 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bahia | Relegation | 30.7% | 16.8% | −13.9 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 41.0% | 29.8% | −11.2 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 62.4% | 73.2% | +10.8 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores Second Round | 44.3% | 54.7% | +10.4 |
| Palmeiras | Relegation | 58.8% | 68.9% | +10.2 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 76.7% | 86.6% | +9.9 |
| Botafogo | Libertadores Second Round | 13.4% | 22.3% | +9.0 |
| Coritiba | Relegation | 29.6% | 21.0% | −8.6 |
| Fluminense | Champion | 47.5% | 55.9% | +8.4 |
| Grêmio | Champion | 15.9% | 8.0% | −7.9 |
