Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Bahia beat Santos with a 19.9% chance and Cruzeiro beat Atlético-GO with a 24.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 26 (before the first match) against those on August 30 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bahia | Relegation | 54.4% | 37.6% | −16.8 |
| Atlético-GO | Relegation | 59.4% | 74.9% | +15.5 |
| Palmeiras | Relegation | 49.7% | 62.8% | +13.0 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 23.9% | 35.4% | +11.5 |
| Portuguesa | Relegation | 20.1% | 11.5% | −8.6 |
| Figueirense | Relegation | 70.8% | 78.4% | +7.6 |
| Coritiba | Relegation | 23.9% | 16.7% | −7.2 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 75.9% | 69.7% | −6.2 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores Second Round | 23.8% | 29.9% | +6.1 |
| Náutico | Relegation | 12.4% | 6.5% | −5.9 |
