Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 4 draws and 4 away wins. 4 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Santos beat Palmeiras with a 24.6% chance, Fluminense beat Vasco with a 24.3% chance, São Paulo beat Corinthians with a 22.5% chance, and Grêmio beat Internacional with a 21.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 19 (before the first match) against those on August 26 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fluminense | Champion | 30.6% | 42.6% | +12.0 |
| Vasco | Libertadores | 26.2% | 14.4% | −11.9 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 63.7% | 75.4% | +11.7 |
| Ponte Preta | Relegation | 32.5% | 20.9% | −11.6 |
| Palmeiras | Relegation | 38.6% | 49.7% | +11.1 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores Second Round | 14.0% | 23.8% | +9.8 |
| Figueirense | Relegation | 79.9% | 70.8% | −9.1 |
| Atletico-MG | Champion | 52.5% | 44.1% | −8.4 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores Second Round | 38.3% | 46.5% | +8.2 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 15.8% | 23.9% | +8.1 |
