Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, no draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Bahia beat Athletico-PR with a 17.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on June 19 (before the first match) against those on July 2 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 66.6% | 36.6% | −30.0 |
| Athletico-PR | Relegation | 30.2% | 52.8% | +22.7 |
| São Paulo | Champion | 34.8% | 12.3% | −22.5 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 52.0% | 68.6% | +16.6 |
| Corinthians | Champion | 21.2% | 37.3% | +16.2 |
| Botafogo | Libertadores | 23.1% | 37.9% | +14.8 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 12.9% | 26.6% | +13.7 |
| São Paulo | Sudamericana | 12.8% | 26.2% | +13.4 |
| Atletico-MG | Relegation | 8.6% | 22.0% | +13.4 |
| Bahia | Relegation | 47.5% | 34.2% | −13.3 |
