Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 6 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Bahia beat Fluminense with a 12.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on June 12 (before the first match) against those on August 10 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flamengo | Libertadores | 9.8% | 63.6% | +53.8 |
| Bahia | Relegation | 65.6% | 23.6% | −42.1 |
| Atlético-GO | Relegation | 21.1% | 53.0% | +31.9 |
| Atletico-MG | Relegation | 7.8% | 38.6% | +30.9 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 50.3% | 79.3% | +28.9 |
| Coritiba | Relegation | 42.4% | 17.1% | −25.3 |
| Athletico-PR | Relegation | 21.1% | 45.2% | +24.1 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 22.4% | 1.2% | −21.2 |
| Flamengo | Champion | 2.3% | 22.7% | +20.4 |
| Corinthians | Champion | 21.6% | 41.1% | +19.5 |
