Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 1 draw and 5 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Botafogo beat São Paulo with a 23.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on June 26 (before the first match) against those on June 30 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 53.3% | 36.6% | −16.7 |
| Coritiba | Relegation | 47.2% | 31.5% | −15.7 |
| São Paulo | Champion | 23.3% | 11.9% | −11.4 |
| Botafogo | Libertadores | 28.3% | 38.7% | +10.4 |
| Vasco | Libertadores | 20.7% | 11.4% | −9.4 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 17.6% | 26.1% | +8.5 |
| Athletico-PR | Relegation | 45.3% | 53.3% | +8.1 |
| Atletico-MG | Relegation | 14.4% | 22.3% | +7.9 |
| Figueirense | Relegation | 16.4% | 9.0% | −7.4 |
| São Paulo | Sudamericana | 19.1% | 25.9% | +6.8 |
