Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 1 draw and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Fluminense beat Palmeiras with a 24.8% chance and Grêmio beat Santos with a 23.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 13 (before the first match) against those on October 16 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Paulo | Sudamericana | 31.8% | 52.8% | +21.0 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 32.1% | 12.4% | −19.7 |
| Grêmio | Sudamericana | 23.7% | 40.3% | +16.6 |
| Palmeiras | Sudamericana | 39.6% | 24.6% | −15.0 |
| Santos | Sudamericana | 33.9% | 20.3% | −13.5 |
| Atlético-GO | Sudamericana | 26.3% | 36.9% | +10.5 |
| Figueirense | Sudamericana | 38.8% | 48.9% | +10.1 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 70.5% | 79.9% | +9.4 |
| Fluminense | Sudamericana | 37.9% | 29.1% | −8.8 |
| Internacional | Sudamericana | 52.1% | 60.6% | +8.5 |
