Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 5 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Figueirense beat Grêmio with a 21.5% chance and Botafogo beat Corinthians with a 22.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 9 (before the first match) against those on October 13 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo | Libertadores | 42.4% | 65.9% | +23.4 |
| Corinthians | Champion | 46.3% | 27.1% | −19.2 |
| Figueirense | Sudamericana | 20.4% | 38.8% | +18.3 |
| Botafogo | Champion | 10.6% | 27.2% | +16.6 |
| Atletico-MG | Relegation | 73.3% | 59.8% | −13.5 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 83.5% | 70.5% | −13.0 |
| Botafogo | Sudamericana | 24.4% | 12.1% | −12.4 |
| Grêmio | Sudamericana | 34.6% | 23.7% | −10.9 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 17.3% | 27.0% | +9.8 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 41.4% | 32.1% | −9.3 |
