Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Internacional beat Palmeiras with a 23.6% chance and Athletico-PR beat Flamengo with a 21.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 8 (before the first match) against those on September 11 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletico-PR | Relegation | 71.2% | 58.1% | −13.1 |
| Bahia | Relegation | 42.6% | 53.8% | +11.2 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 13.4% | 21.9% | +8.5 |
| Atletico-MG | Relegation | 60.0% | 51.8% | −8.2 |
| Cruzeiro | Sudamericana | 28.9% | 21.0% | −7.9 |
| Internacional | Libertadores Second Round | 12.7% | 19.9% | +7.2 |
| Coritiba | Sudamericana | 26.2% | 33.3% | +7.1 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 4.8% | 11.6% | +6.8 |
| Ceará | Relegation | 18.3% | 24.7% | +6.4 |
| Flamengo | Libertadores Second Round | 23.8% | 17.4% | −6.4 |
