Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Fluminense beat Cruzeiro with a 23.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 4 (before the first match) against those on September 8 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santos | Relegation | 19.1% | 8.1% | −11.0 |
| Flamengo | Libertadores | 24.1% | 13.8% | −10.3 |
| Grêmio | Sudamericana | 18.5% | 27.7% | +9.2 |
| Santos | Sudamericana | 15.9% | 24.6% | +8.7 |
| Grêmio | Relegation | 14.0% | 5.6% | −8.4 |
| Bahia | Relegation | 34.5% | 42.6% | +8.1 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores Second Round | 16.5% | 23.5% | +7.0 |
| Avaí | Relegation | 69.6% | 76.5% | +6.9 |
| Internacional | Sudamericana | 34.6% | 41.1% | +6.5 |
| Cruzeiro | Sudamericana | 35.4% | 28.9% | −6.5 |
