Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 5 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Santos beat Corinthians with a 20.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 11 (before the first match) against those on September 18 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bahia | Relegation | 53.8% | 38.1% | −15.7 |
| Vasco | Libertadores | 55.8% | 70.1% | +14.3 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 75.3% | 61.5% | −13.8 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 52.4% | 65.8% | +13.4 |
| Corinthians | Champion | 35.0% | 21.6% | −13.4 |
| Vasco | Champion | 18.0% | 29.5% | +11.5 |
| São Paulo | Champion | 16.1% | 25.7% | +9.6 |
| Santos | Sudamericana | 29.3% | 38.4% | +9.2 |
| Vasco | Sudamericana | 16.7% | 9.2% | −7.5 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 21.9% | 14.9% | −7.0 |
