Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Bahia beat Flamengo with a 18.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 1 (before the first match) against those on October 19 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bahia | Relegation | 50.4% | 7.3% | −43.1 |
| Avaí | Relegation | 58.1% | 94.2% | +36.1 |
| Cruzeiro | Sudamericana | 35.9% | 0.1% | −35.8 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 5.7% | 35.9% | +30.2 |
| Cruzeiro | Relegation | 3.2% | 31.9% | +28.6 |
| Grêmio | Sudamericana | 13.8% | 38.3% | +24.5 |
| Internacional | Sudamericana | 36.0% | 58.8% | +22.7 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores Second Round | 12.5% | 34.4% | +21.9 |
| Ceará | Relegation | 12.8% | 34.3% | +21.4 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores Second Round | 21.9% | 1.1% | −20.8 |
