Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Atletico-MG beat Athletico-PR with a 20.4% chance, Figueirense beat Cruzeiro with a 18.9% chance, and Fluminense beat São Paulo with a 22.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 28 (before the first match) against those on September 1 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletico-PR | Relegation | 41.9% | 57.1% | +15.2 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 48.1% | 34.8% | −13.4 |
| Atletico-MG | Relegation | 77.6% | 65.2% | −12.4 |
| Botafogo | Libertadores | 44.6% | 56.8% | +12.2 |
| Avaí | Relegation | 69.5% | 58.1% | −11.4 |
| Vasco | Libertadores | 44.7% | 55.9% | +11.1 |
| Figueirense | Sudamericana | 22.0% | 32.9% | +10.9 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 68.8% | 77.6% | +8.7 |
| Flamengo | Libertadores | 44.0% | 35.6% | −8.4 |
| São Paulo | Champion | 16.0% | 8.0% | −8.0 |
