Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 3 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Botafogo beat Fluminense with a 24.0% chance and Avaí beat Figueirense with a 19.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 24 (before the first match) against those on August 28 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo | Libertadores | 31.2% | 44.6% | +13.4 |
| Avaí | Relegation | 80.6% | 69.5% | −11.1 |
| Atletico-MG | Relegation | 67.4% | 77.6% | +10.2 |
| Bahia | Relegation | 34.3% | 43.8% | +9.5 |
| Atlético-GO | Sudamericana | 17.3% | 25.6% | +8.3 |
| Atlético-GO | Relegation | 15.2% | 7.5% | −7.7 |
| Figueirense | Sudamericana | 29.3% | 22.0% | −7.3 |
| Grêmio | Relegation | 23.2% | 16.1% | −7.1 |
| Botafogo | Champion | 7.7% | 14.7% | +7.0 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 75.8% | 68.8% | −7.0 |
