Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Ceará beat Internacional with a 17.8% chance and Grêmio beat Athletico-PR with a 24.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 22 (before the first match) against those on May 29 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ceará | Relegation | 31.3% | 18.5% | −12.9 |
| Avaí | Relegation | 46.9% | 58.3% | +11.4 |
| América-MG | Relegation | 50.0% | 58.4% | +8.3 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 19.2% | 10.9% | −8.3 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 16.9% | 24.9% | +8.0 |
| Vasco | Libertadores | 21.1% | 28.7% | +7.7 |
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores | 25.0% | 18.0% | −7.0 |
| Athletico-PR | Libertadores | 15.2% | 8.3% | −6.8 |
| Atletico-MG | Relegation | 10.6% | 4.3% | −6.3 |
| Ceará | Sudamericana | 13.8% | 20.0% | +6.2 |
