Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 1 draw and 4 away wins. 4 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Vasco beat Ceará with a 24.3% chance, Atlético-GO beat Coritiba with a 24.8% chance, Corinthians beat Grêmio with a 23.9% chance, and São Paulo beat Fluminense with a 18.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 20 (before the first match) against those on May 22 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avaí | Relegation | 29.8% | 46.9% | +17.1 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 38.1% | 22.3% | −15.8 |
| Ceará | Relegation | 17.0% | 31.3% | +14.4 |
| América-MG | Relegation | 63.3% | 50.0% | −13.3 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 15.4% | 28.4% | +13.0 |
| Flamengo | Relegation | 26.2% | 13.2% | −12.9 |
| Figueirense | Relegation | 48.9% | 36.0% | −12.9 |
| Athletico-PR | Libertadores | 26.2% | 15.2% | −11.1 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 32.0% | 42.7% | +10.6 |
| Vasco | Libertadores | 10.9% | 21.1% | +10.1 |
