Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: São Paulo beat Atletico-MG with a 24.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 29 (before the first match) against those on June 8 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coritiba | Relegation | 55.5% | 32.9% | −22.6 |
| Figueirense | Relegation | 38.0% | 21.7% | −16.3 |
| América-MG | Relegation | 58.4% | 69.6% | +11.3 |
| Vasco | Libertadores | 28.7% | 17.8% | −10.9 |
| Bahia | Relegation | 58.0% | 68.0% | +10.0 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 31.9% | 41.7% | +9.9 |
| Atlético-GO | Relegation | 30.2% | 39.7% | +9.4 |
| Avaí | Relegation | 58.3% | 67.5% | +9.2 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 24.9% | 16.1% | −8.7 |
| Figueirense | Sudamericana | 11.6% | 18.5% | +6.9 |
