Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 5 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Figueirense beat Corinthians with a 16.6% chance and Santos beat Bahia with a 24.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 18 (before the first match) against those on August 21 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santos | Relegation | 35.6% | 21.0% | −14.7 |
| Corinthians | Champion | 50.0% | 39.6% | −10.4 |
| Bahia | Relegation | 23.6% | 33.9% | +10.3 |
| Figueirense | Relegation | 14.4% | 5.2% | −9.3 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 84.5% | 75.2% | −9.2 |
| Figueirense | Sudamericana | 20.5% | 29.7% | +9.3 |
| Atlético-GO | Relegation | 22.2% | 14.0% | −8.3 |
| Botafogo | Libertadores | 22.3% | 30.0% | +7.7 |
| Atletico-MG | Relegation | 59.8% | 66.9% | +7.2 |
| Athletico-PR | Relegation | 34.2% | 40.7% | +6.5 |
