Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Coritiba beat Santos with a 23.8% chance and Atlético-GO beat Flamengo with a 18.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 14 (before the first match) against those on August 18 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético-GO | Relegation | 39.2% | 22.2% | −16.9 |
| Flamengo | Libertadores | 62.0% | 46.6% | −15.4 |
| Vasco | Libertadores | 34.9% | 48.7% | +13.8 |
| Corinthians | Champion | 36.4% | 50.0% | +13.5 |
| Santos | Relegation | 23.9% | 35.6% | +11.8 |
| Atletico-MG | Relegation | 48.7% | 59.8% | +11.1 |
| Avaí | Relegation | 66.6% | 77.6% | +11.0 |
| Flamengo | Champion | 23.4% | 12.8% | −10.6 |
| Athletico-PR | Relegation | 44.5% | 34.2% | −10.3 |
| Ceará | Relegation | 21.4% | 11.7% | −9.6 |
