Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Avaí beat Ceará with a 18.5% chance, Flamengo beat Cruzeiro with a 22.9% chance, and Athletico-PR beat Atlético-GO with a 23.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 31 (before the first match) against those on August 4 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avaí | Relegation | 68.0% | 49.8% | −18.2 |
| Athletico-PR | Relegation | 59.3% | 42.5% | −16.8 |
| Atlético-GO | Relegation | 32.7% | 45.6% | +12.9 |
| Flamengo | Libertadores | 43.7% | 55.0% | +11.3 |
| Figueirense | Relegation | 28.5% | 18.2% | −10.3 |
| Botafogo | Libertadores | 23.7% | 14.4% | −9.3 |
| Ceará | Relegation | 10.7% | 19.2% | +8.5 |
| Bahia | Relegation | 26.2% | 34.0% | +7.7 |
| Figueirense | Sudamericana | 12.1% | 19.3% | +7.2 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 41.2% | 47.8% | +6.7 |
