Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Figueirense beat Atletico-MG with a 22.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 4 (before the first match) against those on August 7 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 47.8% | 59.1% | +11.3 |
| Bahia | Relegation | 34.0% | 23.7% | −10.3 |
| Atletico-MG | Relegation | 29.5% | 39.5% | +10.0 |
| Avaí | Relegation | 49.8% | 59.1% | +9.3 |
| Figueirense | Sudamericana | 19.3% | 28.2% | +8.9 |
| Figueirense | Relegation | 18.2% | 9.3% | −8.9 |
| Vasco | Libertadores | 35.0% | 26.4% | −8.6 |
| América-MG | Relegation | 91.0% | 83.1% | −7.8 |
| Flamengo | Libertadores | 55.0% | 62.4% | +7.4 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 15.8% | 8.5% | −7.4 |
