Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Flamengo beat Santos with a 24.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 10 (before the first match) against those on July 28 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 37.0% | 56.2% | +19.2 |
| Botafogo | Libertadores | 28.4% | 15.2% | −13.2 |
| Ceará | Relegation | 18.8% | 6.8% | −12.0 |
| Ceará | Sudamericana | 18.1% | 29.4% | +11.4 |
| São Paulo | Sudamericana | 26.7% | 17.7% | −9.1 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 22.5% | 14.8% | −7.6 |
| Vasco | Libertadores | 11.8% | 19.2% | +7.3 |
| São Paulo | Champion | 10.2% | 17.3% | +7.1 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 15.0% | 8.0% | −7.1 |
| Atlético-GO | Relegation | 37.6% | 31.6% | −6.0 |
