Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 4 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Cruzeiro beat Corinthians with a 21.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 20 (before the first match) against those on October 5 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vasco | Libertadores | 16.1% | 74.9% | +58.8 |
| Atletico-MG | Relegation | 24.3% | 73.5% | +49.2 |
| Atlético-GO | Relegation | 48.5% | 0.6% | −47.9 |
| Corinthians | Champion | 66.1% | 28.8% | −37.3 |
| Vasco | Champion | 2.0% | 35.5% | +33.4 |
| Botafogo | Libertadores | 18.4% | 51.5% | +33.1 |
| Cruzeiro | Sudamericana | 33.5% | 1.3% | −32.2 |
| Avaí | Relegation | 62.9% | 94.8% | +31.9 |
| Cruzeiro | Relegation | 1.6% | 31.4% | +29.8 |
| Atlético-GO | Sudamericana | 6.4% | 32.2% | +25.9 |
