Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Avaí beat Atlético-GO with a 20.2% chance and São Paulo beat Internacional with a 22.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 14 (before the first match) against those on July 20 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 36.7% | 52.2% | +15.5 |
| Avaí | Relegation | 75.2% | 62.9% | −12.3 |
| Atlético-GO | Relegation | 37.1% | 48.5% | +11.4 |
| Botafogo | Libertadores | 28.8% | 18.4% | −10.4 |
| Coritiba | Relegation | 25.3% | 15.5% | −9.8 |
| Corinthians | Champion | 57.2% | 66.1% | +8.9 |
| Ceará | Relegation | 20.2% | 11.8% | −8.4 |
| São Paulo | Sudamericana | 26.5% | 18.6% | −7.9 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 16.3% | 8.9% | −7.4 |
| América-MG | Relegation | 75.4% | 81.9% | +6.5 |
