Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Flamengo beat Fluminense with a 21.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 7 (before the first match) against those on July 10 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico-MG | Relegation | 32.2% | 20.4% | −11.8 |
| Flamengo | Libertadores | 21.6% | 30.9% | +9.3 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 31.6% | 22.5% | −9.1 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 23.9% | 15.0% | −8.9 |
| Corinthians | Champion | 43.5% | 51.5% | +7.9 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 29.1% | 37.0% | +7.9 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 23.3% | 31.0% | +7.7 |
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores | 21.3% | 14.7% | −6.5 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 74.2% | 80.8% | +6.5 |
| Atlético-GO | Relegation | 31.2% | 37.6% | +6.4 |
