Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Atlético-GO beat Guarani with a 23.9% chance, Atletico-MG beat Cruzeiro with a 19.3% chance, and Grêmio Barueri beat Santos with a 18.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 17 (before the first match) against those on October 24 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guarani | Relegation | 23.0% | 45.3% | +22.3 |
| Atletico-MG | Relegation | 52.1% | 31.1% | −21.0 |
| Atlético-GO | Relegation | 44.5% | 24.5% | −20.0 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 26.7% | 46.6% | +19.9 |
| Cruzeiro | Champion | 44.9% | 28.6% | −16.3 |
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores | 71.8% | 55.8% | −16.1 |
| Avaí | Relegation | 63.9% | 78.1% | +14.2 |
| Vitória | Relegation | 25.9% | 37.9% | +11.9 |
| Corinthians | Champion | 10.3% | 22.2% | +11.9 |
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores Second Round | 21.6% | 32.9% | +11.3 |
