Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Atletico-MG beat São Paulo with a 21.1% chance and Flamengo beat Palmeiras with a 21.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 12 (before the first match) against those on October 18 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 62.3% | 41.1% | −21.2 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 28.5% | 48.7% | +20.2 |
| São Paulo | Sudamericana | 22.3% | 39.1% | +16.9 |
| Atletico-MG | Sudamericana | 47.5% | 33.3% | −14.2 |
| Grêmio Barueri | Sudamericana | 33.6% | 21.0% | −12.7 |
| Corinthians | Sudamericana | 39.7% | 27.1% | −12.6 |
| Flamengo | Libertadores | 10.7% | 23.1% | +12.3 |
| Palmeiras | Champion | 73.1% | 62.4% | −10.6 |
| Goiás | Libertadores | 23.8% | 14.4% | −9.4 |
| Sport | Relegation | 92.3% | 83.2% | −9.1 |
