Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 2 draws and 5 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Santos beat Fluminense with a 21.1% chance and Atletico-MG beat Sport with a 24.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 17 (before the first match) against those on May 24 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santos | Relegation | 28.9% | 12.4% | −16.5 |
| Vitória | Libertadores | 35.0% | 21.5% | −13.5 |
| Corinthians | Relegation | 45.5% | 32.8% | −12.7 |
| Fluminense | Relegation | 17.5% | 28.6% | +11.1 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 44.3% | 54.5% | +10.3 |
| Santos | Sudamericana | 20.1% | 29.3% | +9.2 |
| Santos | Libertadores | 7.0% | 15.5% | +8.5 |
| Sport | Relegation | 25.0% | 33.3% | +8.3 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 18.9% | 26.9% | +8.0 |
| Botafogo | Relegation | 10.8% | 18.5% | +7.8 |
