Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 5 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Santo André beat Coritiba with a 16.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 10 (before the first match) against those on May 17 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santo André | Relegation | 42.6% | 22.9% | −19.7 |
| Coritiba | Relegation | 15.6% | 31.5% | +15.9 |
| Náutico | Relegation | 32.1% | 17.0% | −15.2 |
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores | 42.3% | 28.4% | −13.9 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 31.2% | 44.3% | +13.0 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 33.8% | 22.8% | −11.0 |
| Santo André | Sudamericana | 12.8% | 22.9% | +10.2 |
| Náutico | Sudamericana | 18.1% | 27.1% | +9.1 |
| Vitória | Libertadores | 25.9% | 35.0% | +9.1 |
| Náutico | Libertadores | 5.2% | 13.7% | +8.5 |
