Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Ponte Preta beat Juventude with a 17.0% chance, Figueirense beat Botafogo with a 22.6% chance, and Goiás beat Corinthians with a 24.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 28 (before the first match) against those on June 1 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ponte Preta | Relegation | 51.7% | 36.6% | −15.1 |
| Goiás | Libertadores | 42.7% | 53.6% | +10.9 |
| Figueirense | Libertadores | 20.2% | 30.1% | +10.0 |
| Botafogo | Relegation | 17.7% | 26.8% | +9.1 |
| Juventude | Libertadores | 24.0% | 15.0% | −9.0 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 51.1% | 59.9% | +8.8 |
| Palmeiras | Relegation | 56.2% | 64.3% | +8.1 |
| Botafogo | Sudamericana | 28.2% | 20.1% | −8.1 |
| Santos | Libertadores | 62.9% | 54.8% | −8.1 |
| Flamengo | Relegation | 26.5% | 18.6% | −8.0 |
