Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 3 draws and 4 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Internacional beat Fluminense with a 22.7% chance, Flamengo beat Corinthians with a 20.9% chance, and Paraná beat Goiás with a 22.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on June 1 (before the first match) against those on June 4 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ponte Preta | Relegation | 36.6% | 22.1% | −14.5 |
| Fortaleza | Relegation | 30.0% | 43.2% | +13.2 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 56.7% | 69.3% | +12.6 |
| Goiás | Libertadores | 53.6% | 41.1% | −12.4 |
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores | 60.5% | 72.6% | +12.1 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 69.8% | 59.5% | −10.3 |
| Paraná | Libertadores | 22.9% | 33.1% | +10.1 |
| Corinthians | Relegation | 15.9% | 25.8% | +9.9 |
| Cruzeiro | Champion | 14.4% | 24.3% | +9.9 |
| Figueirense | Libertadores | 30.1% | 20.8% | −9.3 |
